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Odd Odds: Injury by Toilet more Likely than Lottery Win

Jan 9, 2014

“You are more likely to be killed by an asteroid or injured by a toilet than win the lottery.”

That was an actual headline on National Geographic Daily News. Really.

Bill Nye the Science Guy says it. And the numbers prove it. Your chances of winning the lottery are slim to none. So, if you choose to buy lottery tickets (or participate in other forms of gambling) see it as entertainment, not as a way to make money.

Keeping with the theme of 'Know the Score is about knowing more' we've provided you with the odds of encountering strange mishaps or delightful life events versus winning the lottery.

What are the odds?

Odds of becoming a movie star 1 in 1,505,000

Odds of dating a supermodel: 1 in 88,000

Odds of becoming a pro athlete: 1 in 22,000

Odds of injury from fireworks: 1 in 19,556

Odds of winning an Academy Award: 1 in 11,500 (includes boring technical awards, obviously)

Odds of being injured by a toilet: 1 in 10,000

Odds of finding 4-leaf clover the first try 1 in 10,000

Odds of injury from shaving 1 in 6,585

Odds of fatally slipping in bath or shower: 1 in 2,232

Odds of catching ball at major league game 1 in 563

Odds of getting hemorrhoids 1 in 25

Odds of winning Lotto 6/49: 1 in 14-million

Take the kts2 online quiz and learn more about gambling myths and risks. If you answer all five answers correctly, you will be eligible for a $1,500 scholarship award. We did an informal calculation and based on last year's entries, your odds of getting the scholarship are somewhere in between winning an Academy Award and getting injured by fireworks!